According to @StockMKTNewz, Robinhood (HOOD) will add 100+ new Kalshi prediction markets on its platform in the coming week, signaling an imminent expansion of event-contract trading access for retail users, source: @StockMKTNewz on X dated 2025-10-17 and the referenced RobinhoodApp post on X. Kalshi operates a CFTC-regulated designated contract market for event contracts, ensuring listings are under U.S. derivatives oversight, source: U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission Designated Contract Markets list and Kalshi exchange disclosures. Kalshi’s product set includes macro event markets such as CPI releases and FOMC outcomes that are commonly used to trade or hedge data risk, source: Kalshi market catalog and product descriptions. For crypto impact, BTC and ETH volatility tends to rise around CPI and FOMC windows, making event contracts relevant for traders positioning around those catalysts, source: CME Group research on Bitcoin volatility around macro events; Robinhood offers crypto trading including BTC and ETH, source: Robinhood Crypto product page.

According to @StockMKTNewz, Goldman Sachs raised its S&P 500 year-end target to 6,800 from 6,660, a 140-point increase of roughly 2.1% (source: https://twitter.com/StockMKTNewz/status/1970142807290687585). The source also notes that 6,800 sits at the lower end of the most likely year-end price range on Kalshi prediction markets (source: https://twitter.com/StockMKTNewz/status/1970142807290687585). For trading, these levels frame 6,660 as a pivot reference and 6,800 as the year-end mark for positioning in SPX/ES futures and options, with crypto traders tracking BTC and ETH able to reference these equity benchmarks for macro risk cues; the source itself provides no direct crypto read-through (source: https://twitter.com/StockMKTNewz/status/1970142807290687585).

According to @KobeissiLetter, Kalshi's prediction markets now estimate that Bitcoin could rise as high as $143,000 in 2025, and currently assign a 43% probability that Bitcoin will surpass $150,000 by the end of this year (source: @KobeissiLetter via Twitter, May 22, 2025). These market-based forecasts are driving significant trading activity, as traders position themselves for potential upside momentum. The data suggests increased institutional and retail participation in Bitcoin, with options and futures volumes reflecting heightened bullish sentiment. Market participants should closely monitor prediction market odds and Bitcoin spot price action for potential breakout opportunities.

According to The Kobeissi Letter citing Kalshi, prediction markets now estimate a 43% probability that Bitcoin will surpass $150,000 by the end of 2025, with price targets rising as high as $143,000 for the year. This sharp increase in positive sentiment reflects heightened institutional interest and increased trading volumes, signaling potential for significant upside in BTC price action. Traders are closely monitoring these market-based forecasts to inform their strategies, as such bullish sentiment could drive further momentum in both spot and derivatives markets. (Source: The Kobeissi Letter, Kalshi)

According to The Kobeissi Letter referencing data from Kalshi, prediction markets now set the median expectation for Bitcoin at $124,000 by 2025, signaling a potential 24% upside from current price levels. Bitcoin has already rebounded over 30% from its recent lows, with traders attributing this momentum to heightened global trade tensions. The data highlights growing bullish sentiment in crypto markets as macroeconomic uncertainty drives investors toward digital assets (source: @KobeissiLetter via Twitter, citing Kalshi).